The prognostic usefulness of the lactate/albumin ratio for predicting multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in severe trauma

Objective:
Early prediction of the multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) and providing early innovative treatment may improve outcomes in patients with severe trauma. Lactate and serum albumin levels, which are widely used markers predicting the severity of critically ill patients, tend to diverge during clinical deterioration. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical utility of the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) as a predictive factor for MODS and 30-day mortality in patients with severe trauma.
Method:
This retrospective, observational cohort study was performed with patients prospectively integrated into a critical pathway for trauma. We analyzed severe trauma patients (Injury Severity Score≥16) admitted to the emergency department (ED), between January 1, 2011, and May 31, 2017. The outcomes were the development of MODS and 30-day mortality.
Results:
In total, 348 patients were enrolled, of which 18 (5.2%) died within 96 hours of ED admission, and the remaining 330 patients (94.8%) were evaluated for the development of MODS. An increase in the LAR at admission (odds ratio, 1.618; P=0.028) was an independent predictor of MODS development. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.755) and Harrell's C-index (0.783) showed that LAR could predict MODS and 30-day mortality.
Conclusion:
Initial LAR is an independent predictor of MODS development in patients with severe trauma. Our study results suggest that an elevated LAR can be a useful prognostic marker in patients with severe trauma.

Key words: Trauma; Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome; Lactic acid; Albumins; Prognosis